CAF Qualifying 1ra Ronda Final
Global 1-0
Botsuana vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botsuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
BDI
0 - 0
BOT
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 4
SWZ
71%
20%
10%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
RSA
4 - 1
BOT
69%
22%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
ZAM
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
1 - 2
BOT
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
BDI
0 - 0
BOT
27%
28%
45%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TAN
0 - 3
BDI
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BDI
1 - 1
RWA
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
BDI
1 - 2
COD
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BDI
3 - 2
MTN
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |