Botswana vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 6
GUI
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
GHA
1 - 0
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 0
ZIM
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
LSO
61%
24%
16%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
NIG
1 - 1
BOT
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GHA
2 - 0
MLI
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
MLI
1 - 0
GUI
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
BFA
1 - 1
MLI
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LBR
2 - 2
MLI
16%
22%
62%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MLI
3 - 0
CPV
63%
23%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |