Botswana vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 1
ZIM
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SWZ
1 - 4
BOT
23%
26%
52%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 1
BOT
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
EGY
1 - 0
BOT
84%
12%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
RSA
1 - 0
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MUS
1 - 2
MAD
48%
24%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
COM
0 - 4
MAD
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
MAD
6 - 2
COM
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
MAD
3 - 0
COM
78%
15%
8%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 0
COD
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +1 |