Botswana vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 0
BOT
57%
26%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 0
BOT
71%
21%
8%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 2
RSA
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 2
RSA
11%
21%
68%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 2
ZAM
22%
26%
53%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
LSO
1 - 0
COM
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
COM
2 - 0
LSO
7%
15%
78%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | -3 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
TAN
0 - 0
LSO
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
LSO
3 - 4
ZIM
17%
25%
58%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
NAM
0 - 0
LSO
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |