Botswana vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
BFA
31%
28%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 1
LSO
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
LSO
0 - 0
BOT
25%
29%
46%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
UGA
2 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 1
BOT
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SYC
1 - 1
ETH
15%
19%
66%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
RWA
3 - 1
ETH
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
KEN
0 - 0
ETH
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ETH
2 - 0
KEN
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
ETH
2 - 1
LSO
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |