WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Botswana vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ERI
0 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 3
ETH
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
BFA
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 1
LSO
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
LSO
0 - 0
BOT
25%
29%
46%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ERI
0 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
84%
12%
5%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
ERI
75%
17%
9%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ERI
0 - 3
SSD
15%
21%
63%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |