Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
13º
16º
15º
32
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 60 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 58 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 28 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
14º
|
39% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 2% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LSO
3 - 2
BVR
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
0 - 3
CSK
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 1
BVR
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
2 - 0
SEP
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CVA
2 - 1
BVR
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
0 - 0
LSO
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 1
SVA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 0
ARK
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SSO
3 - 1
SVA
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
3 - 0
CSK
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |