Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SOZ
0 - 1
BVR
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
DOB
2 - 2
BVR
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BVR
3 - 0
DUN
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FKH
1 - 0
BVR
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
BVR
2 - 0
RAK
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SVA
0 - 3
DOB
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
BAN
3 - 0
SVA
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SVA
2 - 1
FKV
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
SVA
56%
24%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
SVA
0 - 0
DUN
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |