Cup 1/16
Global 1-1
Botev Vratsa vs Montana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BGA
1 - 0
BVR
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
BVR
1 - 1
DOB
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
PIR
2 - 1
BVR
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BVR
2 - 2
KAL
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FKV
1 - 2
BVR
24%
27%
48%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
MON
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MON
1 - 3
FKV
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
BGA
74%
18%
9%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DOB
1 - 0
MON
39%
28%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MON
3 - 0
PIR
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |