Botev Vratsa vs Montana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LSO
3 - 0
BVR
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BVR
0 - 1
CVA
26%
30%
44%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SSO
3 - 2
BVR
69%
21%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BVR
1 - 0
SVE
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 1
BVR
34%
29%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MON
0 - 5
CSK
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LSO
1 - 0
MON
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
KAL
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CVA
2 - 0
MON
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
LSO
3 - 0
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |