Botev Vratsa vs Malesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
3 - 1
BVR
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BVR
2 - 1
CHA
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 0
BVR
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
BVR
1 - 0
PIR
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
VIH
2 - 1
BVR
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Malesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
5 - 0
MAL
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MAL
1 - 3
BAN
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAL
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 0
ETA
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
MAL
0 - 3
CSK
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | -1 |