Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Mezdra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PIR
0 - 0
BVR
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BVR
1 - 5
LUD
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BVR
1 - 0
BGA
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAS
2 - 0
BVR
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BVR
1 - 4
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LOK
0 - 1
DOB
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
LOK
0 - 4
BOT
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 1
LOK
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LOK
4 - 1
VER
73%
16%
11%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CHB
1 - 2
LOK
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |