Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
59.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
13º
16º
15º
40
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 76 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 60 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 58 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 58 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 32 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 28 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 92% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 8% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BOT
3 - 1
BVR
68%
20%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 0
BVR
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
BVR
3 - 2
SSO
26%
27%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 2
BVR
21%
22%
57%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 0
BVR
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LSO
2 - 0
LSO
67%
21%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LSO
2 - 3
SEP
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CVA
2 - 1
LSO
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
OFK
0 - 2
LSO
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 2
BER
65%
23%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |