Botev Vratsa vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
15º
15º
30
7º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
SSO
1 - 3
BVR
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BER
2 - 2
BVR
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 2
ARK
23%
30%
48%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
CVA
2 - 1
BVR
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 2
OFK
37%
29%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 4
CSK
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 0
ARK
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
OFK
1 - 1
HEB
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 1
LSO
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
HEB
2 - 1
OFK
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |