Botev Vratsa vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
3º
2º
42
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
39 | 11 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 11 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
42 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
ETA
1 - 1
BVR
34%
26%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 1
BVR
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 0
HEB
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
OFK
1 - 2
BVR
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BVR
2 - 0
ETA
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
BER
0 - 3
LSO
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 1
BER
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
OFK
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
BER
3 - 0
ETA
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 0
BER
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |