Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Botev Plovdiv vs Vereya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SSO
0 - 3
BOT
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
BOT
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
VER
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
7 - 1
MON
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +3 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
OFK
0 - 1
BOT
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vereya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
VER
1 - 0
MON
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
BOT
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
VER
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
SSO
29%
29%
43%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
VER
2 - 0
DUN
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +3 |