Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-1
Botev Plovdiv vs Union Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
BOT
1 - 3
BVR
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
SVA
0 - 2
BOT
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
BOT
8 - 0
CHB
68%
18%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
OFK
1 - 0
BOT
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
BOT
5 - 1
SSO
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Union Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1978 |
ULU
1 - 0
BOG
34%
22%
45%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
BOG
4 - 1
ULU
74%
14%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
MAR
7 - 1
ULU
85%
10%
6%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1973 |
ULU
0 - 5
MAR
20%
19%
60%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1971 |
ULU
0 - 1
VCF
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | -1 |