Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CSK
2 - 1
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 3
SLI
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 2
BOT
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
3 - 1
LOK
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
LOV
5 - 1
BOT
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SVA
1 - 1
VIH
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
OFK
0 - 0
SVA
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SVA
1 - 0
FKM
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SSO
1 - 2
SVA
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
LPL
2 - 1
SVA
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |