Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
4º
4º
42
3º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 4 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 4 |
4º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SSO
1 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
LUD
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
OFK
2 - 4
BOT
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 1
LSO
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
SSO
0 - 0
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
ARK
3 - 0
LSO
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 2
LSO
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LSO
1 - 1
ARK
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
BVR
2 - 1
LSO
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LSO
1 - 4
HEB
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |