Q. Europa League Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 6-0
Botev Plovdiv vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 1
LUD
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
CSK
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
LOV
3 - 0
BOT
52%
26%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
LUD
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
CVA
0 - 1
BOT
38%
30%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 2
LIB
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
TFI
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
TPE
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 2
FAE
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 0
FIO
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +2 |