Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-4
Botev Plovdiv vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
BOT
3 - 0
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
LSO
2 - 2
BOT
57%
22%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
FCB
4 - 1
BOT
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
BOT
2 - 1
CHB
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
BEL
0 - 1
BOT
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
UDL
2 - 1
FCB
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
FCB
4 - 0
CAD
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
FCB
4 - 1
BOT
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1981 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPO
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
ATH
1 - 2
FCB
55%
23%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |