Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
4º
4º
51
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
51 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 1 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 1
BOT
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SSO
3 - 1
BOT
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
LUD
2 - 3
BOT
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
BOT
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
CSK
49%
27%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
ARK
3 - 1
SSO
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
ARK
0 - 0
CSK
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
BOT
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SSO
0 - 0
ARK
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
1 - 1
ARK
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |