Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
4º
4º
58
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 4 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 4 |
4º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
LSO
1 - 2
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 0
SSO
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
ARK
2 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
LSO
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SSO
1 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
ARK
3 - 2
SSO
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
LSO
1 - 3
ARK
42%
29%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
ARK
2 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SSO
0 - 0
ARK
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ARK
3 - 0
LSO
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |