Botafogo BA vs Serrano SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 1
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 1
BOT
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
JAC
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 1
FLU
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JUA
1 - 1
BOT
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
BAH
30%
26%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SER
0 - 3
VIT
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FLU
0 - 0
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 1
SER
54%
23%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SER
1 - 2
JAC
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |