Botafogo BA vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 1
FLU
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JUA
1 - 1
BOT
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
JAC
27%
24%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
JAC
2 - 1
BAH
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SER
1 - 2
JAC
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SDJ
3 - 3
JAC
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
JAC
0 - 1
FLU
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
JAC
27%
24%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |