Botafogo BA vs Catuense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
JAC
4 - 1
BOT
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
JUA
1 - 1
BOT
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 3
SDJ
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BAH
6 - 0
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Catuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 1
BAH
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
CAT
4 - 0
FEI
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 2
CAT
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
CAT
4 - 2
JUA
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 2
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |