Botafogo SP vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
POR
3 - 2
BOT
18%
25%
57%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 0
BOT
16%
23%
62%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
VEL
2 - 2
POR
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VEL
0 - 1
MIR
13%
24%
63%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 1
VEL
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
VEL
2 - 1
SAN
4%
22%
74%
|
55 | 89 | 34 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
1 - 0
VEL
87%
10%
4%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |