Botafogo SP vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
BOT
1 - 3
VAS
89%
9%
2%
|
78 | 27 | 51 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATP
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
CRZ
2 - 1
BOT
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
BOT
2 - 1
SCI
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
TAL
0 - 0
SAO
30%
24%
46%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 0
PEÑ
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 4
GRE
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
35%
25%
41%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
VIT
0 - 2
SAO
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |