Cup Paulista Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Botafogo SP vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
ITU
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
BOT
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
COM
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
INT
1 - 0
SAO
27%
26%
46%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
COM
51%
27%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |