Botafogo SP vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
68.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 0
BOT
39%
25%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
COM
64%
20%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
XVD
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 0
BOT
78%
16%
6%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
58%
24%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
OES
85%
12%
4%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAU
1 - 1
SAN
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
XVD
1 - 1
SAN
10%
17%
72%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |