Série D Brazil Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Botafogo SP vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
BOT
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 0
CRA
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
GAM
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
REM
3 - 1
OPE
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
OPE
0 - 1
REM
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
REM
3 - 0
PAL
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
REM
15%
22%
64%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
REM
3 - 0
VIL
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | +1 |