Botafogo SP vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 1
PAL
21%
24%
56%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 1
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 1
MOG
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
BOT
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 1
OES
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
PPE
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
POR
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 1
SAN
10%
21%
68%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +3 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAO
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |