Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOT
82%
14%
5%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
44%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
BOT
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
COR
19%
29%
51%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 1
BOT
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 2
INT
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
TUN
1 - 0
NOV
24%
21%
55%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
NOV
74%
18%
9%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 3
BRA
14%
25%
61%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
NOV
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |