Botafogo SP vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
LON
40%
26%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
JMA
1 - 1
BOT
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
LAJ
2 - 0
BOT
32%
27%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 2
MET
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -3 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
6 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MET
2 - 1
JMA
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
JMA
1 - 1
BOT
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
JMA
1 - 2
LON
30%
27%
44%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
LAJ
4 - 4
JMA
47%
28%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
JMA
1 - 0
TCW
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |