Botafogo SP vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
BOT
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 6
PAL
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OES
2 - 3
BOT
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
PPE
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
BOT
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ITU
2 - 2
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
ITU
38%
25%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ITU
2 - 3
LIN
39%
24%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ITU
3 - 2
PAU
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
XVD
1 - 2
ITU
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |