Botafogo SP vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
POR
1 - 0
BOT
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 2
GRE
31%
25%
45%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 2
BOT
39%
25%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
COR
0 - 3
GUA
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
GUA
1 - 3
FLA
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 2
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
GUA
2 - 0
CRZ
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |