Botafogo SP vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
BOT
24%
26%
49%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
5 - 1
VIL
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BOT
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
CRA
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 0
BOT
27%
29%
44%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
DUQ
1 - 2
GAM
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
DUQ
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
GAM
2 - 0
DUQ
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
DUQ
0 - 1
CRA
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BOT
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |