Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 3-1
Botafogo SP vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
GAM
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
BOT
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
DUQ
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
BOT
24%
26%
49%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
5 - 1
VIL
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
CRA
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
BOT
22%
27%
51%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 1
CRA
53%
26%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
DUQ
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
DUQ
0 - 1
CRA
41%
26%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |