Cup Paulista Last 16
Global 0-2
Botafogo SP B vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
70.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
BSP
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BSP
0 - 2
MAR
33%
23%
44%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 1
BSP
45%
23%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
BSP
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BSP
2 - 2
NOV
11%
16%
74%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
BSP
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
NPR
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 24 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
COM
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 0
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
FER
23%
28%
49%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |