Botafogo SP B vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 3
BSP
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
BSP
0 - 1
FER
12%
18%
71%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
BSP
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BSP
0 - 2
MAR
33%
23%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 1
BSP
45%
23%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
COM
0 - 3
VOT
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
COM
0 - 2
JOS
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
BAN
0 - 0
COM
21%
25%
55%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
COM
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
COM
5 - 0
RIO
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |