Botafogo vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 1
BOT
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 3
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAO
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 1
BOT
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
XVD
4 - 1
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
XVD
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
XVD
2 - 4
RIO
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
XVD
23%
27%
51%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |