Carioca 1 Playoffs Campeonato Final
Global 3-3
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 1
BOT
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
3 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 3
BOT
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 3
VAS
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VOL
1 - 1
BOT
12%
23%
66%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
2 - 3
VAS
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 3
BOT
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 3
VAS
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
0 - 1
UCH
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 3
VAS
7%
17%
76%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |