Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VOL
1 - 1
BOT
12%
23%
66%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
BAN
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
CAB
83%
13%
4%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 2
BOT
12%
24%
64%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
0 - 1
UCH
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 3
VAS
7%
17%
76%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
0 - 0
FLU
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
4 - 3
BOA
82%
14%
5%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 1
MAC
84%
13%
4%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |