Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOT
34%
26%
41%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLA
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 3
BOT
21%
26%
54%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 1
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 2
GOI
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CRI
3 - 2
VAS
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLU
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
VAS
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
VAS
3 - 1
SCI
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |