Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOT
15%
22%
63%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
BOT
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
VOL
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
BOT
12%
21%
67%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
VAS
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 0
MAD
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 2
ALI
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 2
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 2
BON
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |