Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 0
BOT
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
CRZ
0 - 1
BOT
61%
21%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
AVA
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 1
BOT
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 2
COR
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
VAS
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 1
BAH
66%
21%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
ATM
1 - 2
VAS
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATP
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |