Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 0
FRI
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 3
BOT
11%
18%
72%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 1
PAL
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ATP
2 - 0
BOT
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
BOT
3 - 2
SAO
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 2
VAS
14%
20%
65%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
VAS
1 - 0
TIG
88%
10%
3%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
IFC
2 - 0
VAS
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 1
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 1
ARN
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |