Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FFL
3 - 1
BOT
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 1
GRE
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
PAY
2 - 0
BOT
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
CRI
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
BOT
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 2
SAO
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 1
PAY
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 2
VAS
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 1
VAS
29%
26%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |