Botafogo vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
COR
3 - 0
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1996 |
COR
1 - 0
BOT
3%
15%
82%
|
81 | 23 | 58 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1995 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
BOT
0 - 0
CRZ
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1996 |
UCO
2 - 3
COR
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
RIV
3 - 1
UCO
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1995 |
UCO
2 - 1
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
UCO
4 - 1
UCH
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |