Botafogo vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
14.3%
5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
5 - 0
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
BOT
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
COR
39%
29%
31%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
XVD
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
XVD
25%
27%
48%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAO
22%
26%
53%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
UNI
70%
19%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
XVD
4 - 1
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 3
BOT
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | -1 |